Predicted Solar Flare Activity For The 1990s: Possible Effects On Navigation Systems

J. M. Kunches and J. W. Hirman

Abstract:	The current solar cycle, which began in September 1986, may prove to be the highest ever, as measured by sunspot numbers and radio flux. The cycle’s frequent and strong solar flare activity may be illus- trated by the March 1989 episode, which caused many problems for navigation systems. Flares and the geomagnetic storms that sometimes accompany them can disrupt low-frequency systems such as LORAN (Long KAnge Navigation) as well as the satellite-borne Global Positioning System (GPS). Although the maximum of the solar cycle is expected during the first quarter of 1990, flare activity is likely to persist at high levels for a few years to follow. Geomagnetic activity may occur at any time in the cycle, and thus geomagnetic disruptions are possible at any point in the 1990s.
Published in:	Proceedings of the 1990 National Technical Meeting of The Institute of Navigation January 23 - 25, 1990 Princess Resort Hotel San Diego, CA
Pages:	47 - 52
Cite this article:	Updated citation: Published in NAVIGATION: Journal of the Institute of Navigation
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